A. POWERPOINT - Used in early convenings
PowerPoint A - Overview and Highlights
B. BACKGROUND MATERIALS
CONTENTS AND INTRODUCTION
I. SCENARIOS OF GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT
I.A. Quantitative Scenarios of Global Development
I.B. Narrative Scenarios of Global Development
II. EVALUATION OF KEY CONCERNS
II.A. Limits to Growth
II.A.1. Limits to Growth: Models and Theory
II.A.2. Limits to Growth: Biogeophysical Limits
II.A.3. Limits to Growth: Technological Change
II.A.4. Limits to Growth: Complexity
II.B. Economic Inequality
II.B.1. Economic Inequality: The Data
II.B.2. Economic Inequality: Inequality and Economic Growth
II.B.3. Economic Inequality: Reducing Economic Inequality
II.B.4. Economic Inequality: Public Opinion
II.C. Green Sustainability
II.C.1 Green Sustainability: Necessity vs Choice
II.C.2 Green Sustainability: Public Opinion
II.C.3 Green Sustainability: Voluntary Simplicity
II.D. Globalization and Governance
II.D.1 Globalization and Governance: Data and Interpretation
II.D.2 Globalization and Governance: Institutions and Policy
II.D.3 Globalization and Governance: Nation-states, Norms and Values
II.E. Technological Change
II.E.1 Technological Change: Projected Trajectories
II.E.2 Technological Change: Human Genetic Modification
II.E.3 Technological Change: Public Opinion
III. CONCLUDING COMMENTS
APPENDICES
1. Cline’s Growth Projections: Closing the Income Gap in 650 Years
2. Model A: Estimation of Initial Values and Rates of Change
3. The Model A Income Distribution Equations
4. Economic Inequality
5. Definitions of Growth, Well-Being and Related Key Concepts
6. Estimates of Stocks of Energy Resources
7. Calculation of Global Warming Trajectories
These BACKGROUND MATERIALS are excerpted and edited sections of the dissertation A Scenario of Economic Well-Being, Ecological Integrity and Social Equity for the 21st Century (Hayes 2004; UC Berkeley). Excerpted and edited sections of these Background Materials are included in several of the ATTACHMENTS to the Working Paper on the Human Future.